Will Trump be charged by the DoJ by the end of 2022 for crimes related to removing documents from the White House to his home Mar-a-Lago?
92
1.2kṀ68k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Aug 17, 12:29am: Will Trump be charged by the DoJ by the end of 2022 for removing classified documents from the White House to his home Mar-a-Lago? → Will Trump be charged by the DoJ by the end of 2022 for crimes related to removing classified documents from the White House to his home Mar-a-Lago?

Resolves YES if Trump is charged. Resolves NOif not.

Aug 8, 7:46pm: Will Trump be charged by the DoJ for removing classified documents from the White House to his home in Mar-a-Lago? → Will Trump be charged by the DoJ for removing classified documents from the White House to his home Mar-a-Lago?

Aug 8, 8:45pm: clarifying that it resolves NO if no charges by end of the year.

Sep 19, 11:08am: Removed 'classified' from question.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ7,354
2Ṁ809
3Ṁ673
4Ṁ641
5Ṁ475
Sort by:
predictedYES

This is happening November 9th at 6am.

predictedYES

@BTE ??

predictedYES

@belikewater I mean he is going to get arrested the morning after the election. The approach Trump has taken is to antagonize the DoJ. I am convinced he wants to be indicted because he thinks it would instantly make him the center of attention. Plus it will be too difficult to explain not charging him at this point.

predictedYES

@BTE I think he'll do - and is doing - everything in his power to prevent being indicted. But yeah, it could happen right after the election. Although that would be so obvious a miscarriage of justice that that's hard to picture, too. (Who else gets to wait until after an election to get arrested?) Otoh, I truly do not understand why he is currently walking free.

@BTE arrested the morning after the election? Seriously? Blue Anon running amok in this joint.

predictedYES

@BTE I would buy so much NO from you on him being indicted the nothing after. They'll at least give it a day for some implausible deniability.

predictedYES

*morning

predictedNO

@MartinRandall Well if you're not going to do it, I will:

predictedNO

@BTE Note the extremely generous terms: 48 whole hours of grace period!

predictedYES

@MartinRandall LMAO. You are probably right but I hope they do.

predictedYES

@MichaelWheatley I am already betting!!

predictedNO

@BTE Guess it didn't happen

predictedYES

@WieDan No, got until the end of the day today.

predictedYES

@WieDan Oh, haha, you mean my "morning of November 9th" claim. Yes I was wrong.

Looking more and more like a no.

predictedYES

@RobertBertrand Why is that??

@BTE there doesn't seem to be a "there" there.

predictedYES

@RobertBertrand This is a hilariously bad take. I guess trolls are welcome but your lack of an actual argument to back up your statement makes it clear you know it's inevitable. We are only talking about being indicted here, not convicted. It would be more damaging to the legal system NOT to indict him at this point. Don't worry though, Trump can still be elected even if he is in prison so no threat to your guy's political prospects I guess.

Donald Trump eating documents

Again, @BTE, I'm counting on this resolving as "yes" if he's charged with crimes related to removing documents, not specifically classified documents.

predictedYES

@belikewater It will, classification status is not a factor. I will just strike it from the question because it is a distraction.

Manifold needz to STOP warning me when I make large bets I KNO WHAT I AM DOING

predictedYES

@Spindle It actually stopped me outright on one market.

predictedNO

@BTE We aren't children, we are SERIOUZ INVEZTORS who DERIVE TRAUNCHES and ALLOCATE MARGINZ and fling PRETEND MONEY at each other

It's clear that nothing criminal actually happened now.

predictedNO

@RobertBertrand He did crimes by UNWARRENTED WARRSTING and FRAUDING HER AND THERE!

predictedYES

@RobertBertrand Yeah I wouldn’t say this is the case. The issue is the timing due to the special master assignment. There are thousands of documents and chains of custody to review here. No one is sure how long that will take.

@JimOtt Not really.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules