Will this market be traded by 50+ users?
27
2
Ṁ225
resolved Jul 6
Resolved
NO
Resolves YES if under market info the number next to Traders is >= 50 at market close. Close date updated to 2022-07-04 11:59 pm Jun 20, 9:39pm: A $50 tip will be paid the top trader of this market measured in total profit at close. Close date updated to 2022-12-31 11:59 pm Close date updated to 2022-07-04 11:59 pm
Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ985
2Ṁ49
3Ṁ29
4Ṁ24
5Ṁ22
25 Comments
18 Holders
73 Trades
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sold Ṁ26 of NO
Cashing out now, I don't trust the creator to not extend it again. Also updating for shenanigans on BTE's other markets.
predicted YES
@wasabipesto you could have read the comments and seen I won't extend it again. And I lost more than $1000 tipping those who lost.
predicted YES
The close date changed again? Damn. When I saw the close date by the end of the year I sold NO and bought YES. I guess I'll have to start taking into account the probability of the question changing.
predicted YES
@MGM I apologize. It was careless of me to change it the first time, it was inexcusable for me to try to fix it by doing it again. Tip hopefully makes up for your losses.
@BTE I understand. Thank you, no need to tip though, managed to end up profiting.
predicted NO
How gross
bought Ṁ1 of NO
@JacobIannelli I happened to be online when the due date was readjusted, but you were the guy who sold at the top, so I've tipped you back your losses.
predicted YES
@JacobIannelli I have also tipped you back your losses. I apologize. Your comment hit me in the gut.
sold Ṁ40 of NO
You're allowed to extend the close date? Doesn't this belong at 100% then?
bought Ṁ90 of YES
@MichaelWheatley It is actually the second time I have extended the close date. That is why I added the note about paying a $50 tip to the trader with the most profits at market close. The idea was to get a lot of traders actively trading a single market.
predicted YES
Yeah, this feels weird, I'm not sure what the question even is anymore
predicted NO
@BTE In the future it would be good to have advance warning about flexible end dates, since otherwise I assume the close date is the cutoff.
predicted NO
I did see the automatic message in the description with the previous extension, which should have been a clue, but I wrongly assumed it was just a cosmetic change, since there weren't any other details to go on. (maybe the deadline as moved a few minutes after market creation, or maybe it was moved from 2 AM to 12 AM, as sometimes happens)
sold Ṁ42 of YES
Seems like subsidizing the liquidity on this market has earned me much more in fees than I would have earned typically. Great new feature!!
predicted YES
19/50. Selling my YES to entice more traders!!
predicted YES
15/50.
predicted YES
13/50. I doubt most of the people who have bet this market even know about the top trader bonus? Active trading encouraged, $400 of extra liquidity already added to the pool. https://manifold.markets/BTE/will-this-market-be-traded-by-50-us#QKcUIYZaw3ROvA4ig3Qj
predicted YES
12/50
predicted YES
@georgevii @jack @sneakysly you guys see the $50 tip for top trader on this market?
predicted YES
Top trader of this market measured in total profit at close will receive a $50 tip (basically the fees paid by the first 50 traders).
predicted YES
6/10
predicted YES
5/50
predicted YES
4/50
predicted YES
It would be great if we could comment on individual bets for these yes/no markets like we can in the free answer markets.
predicted YES
I just added $400 of liquidity to encourage active trading.