Will there be another MAGAsurrection by the end of 2024?
40
260
750
2025
16%
chance

January 6th was MAGAsurrection I.

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The next inauguration, if someone new is elected, isn’t until January 2025, so an identical event to January 6 wouldn’t be in the time range of this market. I doubt replicating that event would happen for many reasons, but just wanted to point it out.

@Gabrielle I think you are being too literal in your interpretation of the question. Think of Trump as Bin Laden and MAGA as Al qaeda. OMG there is a Q in Al Qaeda!!!!!!!

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@BTE I definitely think that an event that fulfills the market could happen before the literal date of January 6, 2025, I just wanted to point it out for people (like me) who always get confused about what year the inauguration actually happens in.

Manifold should copyright MAGAsurrection immediately.

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