Will the Pope survive 2024?

39

1kṀ9673

resolved Jan 2

Resolved

YES

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ97
2		Ṁ94
3		Ṁ34
4		Ṁ16
5		Ṁ15

Sort by:

This is strictly about his longevity, right? It still counts if he abdicates, I suppose?

@BrunoParga No I can update to clarify. It’s about his death not the end of his papacy.

predictedYES

@BTE Abdications are fashionable these days - Queen Margaret of Denmark just abdicated.

People are also trading

Will the next Pope last until the end of Trump's 2nd term?

Will the next Pope be?

Will the next pope visit the United States by the end of 2026?

+18% 1d81% chance

Related questions

Will the next Pope last until the end of Trump's 2nd term?

Will the next Pope be?

Will the next pope visit the United States by the end of 2026?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules