Will the House of Representatives vote to expel George Santos by the end of 2023?
234
3K
1.8K
resolved Dec 1
Resolved
YES

The last time it happened was James Traficant, who had already been convicted of multiple crimes at the time of his removal.

UPDATE: Santos must be removed. Otherwise this would have already resolved based on the last vote to expel that failed.

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ15,187
2Ṁ5,353
3Ṁ3,409
4Ṁ3,183
5Ṁ2,358
Sort by:
sold Ṁ20 of NO
predicted YES
predicted YES

predicted YES

@ReeMARKable Lol Sherman is an ex- Politico Hill reporter with a direct line to McCarthy, Stefanik, and Gaetz. Not some Twitter rando. Problem is this time, all his sources were in the half of the GOP that voted in favor of Santos, giving the impression of false momentum.

Not every type of reporting is as bad as tech company reporting.

predicted NO

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/rep-george-santos-expulsion-vote-house-this-week-rcna127018

“Rep. George Santos will face expulsion again this week and predicts he'll be ousted”

You’ve heard a prediction from the horse’s mouth. Unfortunately the horse is also a (accused) serial liar so I don’t know whether to take this also as a falsehood.

predicted NO

i think he resigns rather than go through humiliation of being removed. He is no James Traficant.

bought Ṁ10 YES at 74%
bought Ṁ10 of YES

@BTE I think his behavior since his election is arguably evidence that he has a humiliation fetish!

predicted NO

@FrederickNorris Fascinating theory! Maybe spot on.

bought Ṁ0 of NO

@BTE He will cast himself as a mature. The victim of slander and bullying.

predicted NO

@BTE Did you ever get a picture with Mr. Beam Me Up?

predicted YES

@FrederickNorris Are you trying to insult me? 😂

bought Ṁ10 of YES

@Marq Read the room, my brother.

predicted NO

@FrederickNorris I did not but I heard a lot of wild stories about him while I was there. He used to do stuff like saying things outrageous like “Hillary Clinton is a (fill in the blank)” just to get it on the congressional record. So mostly for the laughs.

predicted YES

@BTE Absolutely an interesting political character. Made it to the House by refusing to carry out foreclosures as Sheriff, and used his House position to get free work done on his own house, iirc.

bought Ṁ25 of YES

Republicans would free an axe murderer if it benefited them. The entire bunch are without a conscience.

bought Ṁ50 of YES

How would you resolve it if he resigns after a vote has been scheduled?

predicted NO

@IonMarqvardsen Then it would be NO. That is actually precisely what I expect to happen. I think he will realize that resigning will look better when he faces a judge for sentencing.

bought Ṁ40 of YES

@BTE I think 🤔 it’s problematic that you trade first and answer last. Your answer has moved the market 20% to your advantage.

predicted NO

I don't think there was any real ambiguity here. Vote scheduled != successful vote to expel.

predicted YES

@jack Then you could just as well have answered before trading

bought Ṁ0 of NO

@IonMarqvardsen I already had a very large position before trading just recently.

predicted NO

@IonMarqvardsen Look at my trading history on this question. I think I have changed my mind twice.

boughtṀ100YES

@SemioticRivalry Why do you think anything has changed since a couple weeks ago? Because of the report yesterday??

predicted YES

@BTE a bunch more Republicans came out for it and some reporters I trust said it's looking likely

bought Ṁ100 of NO

@SemioticRivalry I noticed that. I like using you as a signal for when to check the news.