Will Mike Johnson visit Taiwan as Speaker?
27
1kṀ15kresolved Jan 22
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ493 | |
| 2 | Ṁ146 | |
| 3 | Ṁ24 | |
| 4 | Ṁ15 | |
| 5 | Ṁ13 |
People are also trading
Will Mike Johnson be the Speaker of the House on November 28, 2025?
83% chance
Will Mike Johnson still be speaker at the end of Trump's term?
14% chance
Will the President of Taiwan(ROC) visit the US in 2025?
41% chance
Will Mike Johnson be removed as Speaker before 2026?
20% chance
Marco Rubio visiting Taiwan before the end of 2028?
45% chance
Sort by:
@traders This market is slightly ambiguous—Mike Johnson is still speaker, but (a) the close date has passed (not strong evidence, as the plan might have been to extend it), & (2) it's tagged as "118th congress" (not super clear, as tags can be automatic/imprecise).
That being said, I'm going to resolve it, mostly because @bagelfan made this ruling on the same situation earlier and it seems sensible to align with that (and I would lean towards NO as well).
@Ziddletwix I also think that directionally, where there is ambiguity or interpretation possible, we should aim to close banned users' markers earlier rather than later
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Mike Johnson be the Speaker of the House on November 28, 2025?
83% chance
Will Mike Johnson still be speaker at the end of Trump's term?
14% chance
Will the President of Taiwan(ROC) visit the US in 2025?
41% chance
Will Mike Johnson be removed as Speaker before 2026?
20% chance
Marco Rubio visiting Taiwan before the end of 2028?
45% chance