Will I have 52,000 unique traders at the end of 2023?
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19
15k
resolved Dec 8
Resolved
YES

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

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Looks like you're at 52

With the amount that you post, I think you’re nearing market saturation.

predicted YES

@mattyb That seems like a better argument for YES than NO.

predicted NO

@BTE Sorry, I meant I don’t think Manifold has enough new users coming on board, so as you continue to post, it’s just me and the other regulars voting on your questions.

My bet is that Manifold is growing too slowly for you to have another 7k new traders by EoY.

predicted YES

@mattyb Maybe. In October I had roughly 5k and currently at around 350/day.

predicted NO

@BTE that’s fair. I’ve been on a losing streak recently, wouldn’t be surprised if I flubbed this one too 😂

@BTE i was wrong 😊, resolves true

predicted YES

@mattyb 51,744, not quite yet!

@chrisjbillington ahh, i’m on mobile so I just have the round number