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MANIFOLD
Will I have 52,000 unique traders at the end of 2023?
19
Ṁ310Ṁ15k
resolved Dec 8
Resolved
YES

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Looks like you're at 52

With the amount that you post, I think you’re nearing market saturation.

predictedYES

@mattyb That seems like a better argument for YES than NO.

predictedNO

@BTE Sorry, I meant I don’t think Manifold has enough new users coming on board, so as you continue to post, it’s just me and the other regulars voting on your questions.

My bet is that Manifold is growing too slowly for you to have another 7k new traders by EoY.

predictedYES

@mattyb Maybe. In October I had roughly 5k and currently at around 350/day.

predictedNO

@BTE that’s fair. I’ve been on a losing streak recently, wouldn’t be surprised if I flubbed this one too 😂

@BTE i was wrong 😊, resolves true

predictedYES

@mattyb 51,744, not quite yet!

@chrisjbillington ahh, i’m on mobile so I just have the round number