Will I be offered a full-time position at Open Philanthropy by the end of 2023?
resolved Jan 1

Context: Over the last few months I have had two separate case studies on AI standards/policy commissioned by Holden Karnofsky, founder and CEO of Open Philanthropy. Today I noticed that last week Open Philanthropy listed several new positions on their AI Governance and Policy Team that are basically the full-time version of the part-time work I have been doing as an independent contractor the last few months. If I am formally offered any of the positions listed at this link by the end of 2023 this question will resolve YES.

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@BTE because we're out?

any feedback from that second round/did it take place?

predicted YES

@shankypanky Yes still waiting to hear back. Technically it ended Thursday.

predicted YES

@shankypanky I sold because of time. Getting close to year end. But still in!!

bought Ṁ60 of YES

Made it to the second round.

bought Ṁ50 of YES

@BTE good luck 🙌

predicted NO

@BTE Good luck!

predicted NO

@BTE congrats on making it to the 2nd round!!!

bought Ṁ10 of YES

Good luck! Do you have a resume or website of your work or something you'd mind sharing? Not for the purpose of the market, more so personal interest in how one would come about this kind of work :)

predicted YES

@SeitaY Here is the resume I submitted to OpenPhil and the short answer I provided in response to what AI Governance initiative I would build with the resources at OpenPhil if given the chance, or something like that. You can find links to two case studies I recently had commissioned by OpenPhil in the projects section of my resume. I welcome you or anyone who wants to give me feedback on anything via DM.

Have you expressed interest, or is this for whether they come to you?

predicted YES

@shankypanky I am actually about to submit my application for 3 positions on the AI Governance and Policy team. I have been working with Holden Karnofsky as an independent contractor writing AI standards case studies that were funded by Open Philanthropy. So in the last 90 days I have delivered approximately 80 pages of original research with the expectation that I would continue doing case studies if I do not get one of the positions I am applying for now. I will post my resume and my answers to the questions asked in the application after I submit it so the betters here will have all the information OP has. Sound good??

@BTE solid - thanks for the added context!

bought Ṁ50 of NO

Good luck! Just betting on base rates

predicted YES

@Lorenzo I get it! Probably a smart bet.

Good luck!

Added 1k subsidy, goodluck!