Will Biden use the 14th amendment to raise the debt ceiling without reaching a deal with the GOP?

Brian T. Edwards

closes Jul 1

1.1%

chance

ALL

The Life of Biden

Sort by:

Brian T. Edwardsis predicting YES at 5%

To avoid future debt ceiling debates, Biden wants to try the 14th Amendment - The Washington Post

Danbought Ṁ300 of NO

@BTE why have such large limit orders on this market when this one is so much lower? https://manifold.markets/jack/will-the-us-issue-more-debt-above-t?r=RGFuTWFuMzE0

Brian T. Edwardsis predicting YES at 15%

@DanMan314 I honestly just forgot to put an expiration I think. It was dumb. Though this does not seem like it’s off the table yet?

Danis predicting NO at 15%

@BTE Definitely not off the table, just was curious how this market was so different than Jack’s.

Brian T. Edwardsis predicting YES at 15%

@DanMan314 Actually looks like it is probably off the table. Damn.

Fedor bought Ṁ1,000 NO from 1.5% to 1.1%

Jack bought Ṁ1,000 NO from 2% to 1.5%

Jack bought Ṁ1,000 NO from 5% to 2%

Dan bought Ṁ300 NO from 6% to 5%

Jf P bought Ṁ100 NO from 7% to 6%

nacho bought Ṁ4 YES at 7% 🤖

Dan sold Ṁ216 NO from 5% to 7%

Predictor 🔥 bought Ṁ401 NO from 9% to 5%

Jack bought Ṁ300 NO from 15% to 9%

bjubes bought Ṁ10 YES at 15%

Jack filled limit order Ṁ300/Ṁ300 NO at 15%

Jack filled limit order Ṁ6,000/Ṁ6,000 NO at 16%

Dan bought Ṁ300 NO at 22%

Dan bought Ṁ500 NO from 23% to 22%

Matthew Lichti bought Ṁ50 NO at 23%

Dan bought Ṁ200 NO at 23%

Dan bought Ṁ200 NO from 26% to 23%

Adele Lopez bought Ṁ20 NO from 28% to 26%

Cutterpillow bought Ṁ10 YES from 25% to 28%

Nathan Showell bought Ṁ20 NO at 25%

bjubes bought Ṁ25 NO from 27% to 25%

Brian T. Edwards filled limit order Ṁ230/Ṁ230 YES at 23%

Brian T. Edwards filled limit order Ṁ300/Ṁ300 YES at 22%

Brian T. Edwards filled limit order Ṁ50/Ṁ50 YES at 25%

Brian T. Edwards filled limit order Ṁ400/Ṁ400 YES at 20%

Brian T. Edwards filled limit order Ṁ280/Ṁ280 YES at 16%

Brian T. Edwards filled limit order Ṁ500/Ṁ500 YES at 18%

Brian T. Edwards bought Ṁ20 YES from 19% to 27%

Brian T. Edwards bought Ṁ10 YES from 16% to 19%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ56/Ṁ100 NO at 16% (cancelled) 🤖

Brian T. Edwards bought Ṁ10 YES from 17% to 20%

Brian T. Edwards bought Ṁ10 YES from 14% to 17%

Brian T. Edwards bought Ṁ10 YES from 11% to 14%

Fiery Koala bought Ṁ9 NO at 11%

Cpeter bought Ṁ10 NO from 12% to 11%

Adele Lopez bought Ṁ45 NO from 14% to 12%

Dan bought Ṁ30 NO from 15% to 14%

Dan bought Ṁ45 NO from 19% to 15%

nacho bought Ṁ4 NO at 19% 🤖

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ67/Ṁ100 NO at 19% (cancelled) 🤖

belikewater bought Ṁ50 YES from 9% to 29%

Dan bought Ṁ75 NO from 11% to 9%

HMYS_BOT_3000 bought Ṁ2 YES at 11%

Jack bought Ṁ100 NO from 18% to 11%

Nico D sold Ṁ19 NO from 16% to 18%

Brian T. Edwards sold Ṁ10 NO from 15% to 16%

Nico D bought Ṁ20 NO from 17% to 15%

Brian T. Edwards bought Ṁ10 NO from 18% to 17%

Nico D sold Ṁ65 NO from 12% to 18%

Nikita Skovoroda sold Ṁ50 NO from 10% to 12%

Related markets

Kit Redgrave

Will Joe Biden invoke the 14th Amendment to issue debt over the ceiling?2%

Dan

If Biden invokes the 14th Amendment to exceed the debt ceiling, will the action be successfully challenged in court?43%

Zvi Mowshowitz

Will the Democrats make concessions to get the debt ceiling raised and/or default on the debt?97%

Rahul Sridhar

Will the Biden administration pursue some kind of gimmick to prevent the US from defaulting on it's debt?1%

Jack

Will the US fail to raise the debt ceiling before June 1 but not default?99%

Tomek K 🟡

American politics 2023: The statutory debt ceiling is raised?99%

Jack

If the US fails to raise the debt ceiling before June 1, will the US avoid default?99%

Jack

Will a discharge petition be used successfully to bring a debt ceiling increase to the House floor in 2023?1%

Jack

Will the US issue debt exceeding the debt ceiling in 2023? (e.g. by the 14th Amendment or "least illegal" principle)2%

Gavriel

Will Project NextGen be cut as part of a debt ceiling agreement?5%

Nathan Young

Well there be a debt ceiling showdown before 2025?89%

Lars Doucet

Conditional on the threat of a government shutdown, will president Biden “mint the coin?"4%

Bolton Bailey

Conditional on imminent US debt default, will Biden mint "The Coin"?41%

Tripping

Will the US Treasury issue bonds with a face value different to sale value in 2023 to get around debt ceiling issues?3%

Predictor 🔥

Will any wealth tax bill pass in the US Congress during Joe Biden’s presidential term?6%

David Davidson

Will the US default on its debt by the end of 2023?2%

Nick Allen

Will McCarthy make it to July without needing to be reelected as speaker?86%

Jeff B.-K.

Will Biden’s student debt forgiveness program ever payout?39%

Lars Doucet

Will the Republican "abolish the IRS" house bill actually get a floor vote?57%

Jack

Will the US government default (fail to pay its bills on time, not just Treasury debt) in 2023?2%

Related markets

Kit Redgrave

Will Joe Biden invoke the 14th Amendment to issue debt over the ceiling?2%

Dan

If Biden invokes the 14th Amendment to exceed the debt ceiling, will the action be successfully challenged in court?43%

Zvi Mowshowitz

Will the Democrats make concessions to get the debt ceiling raised and/or default on the debt?97%

Rahul Sridhar

Will the Biden administration pursue some kind of gimmick to prevent the US from defaulting on it's debt?1%

Jack

Will the US fail to raise the debt ceiling before June 1 but not default?99%

Tomek K 🟡

American politics 2023: The statutory debt ceiling is raised?99%

Jack

If the US fails to raise the debt ceiling before June 1, will the US avoid default?99%

Jack

Will a discharge petition be used successfully to bring a debt ceiling increase to the House floor in 2023?1%

Jack

Will the US issue debt exceeding the debt ceiling in 2023? (e.g. by the 14th Amendment or "least illegal" principle)2%

Gavriel

Will Project NextGen be cut as part of a debt ceiling agreement?5%

Nathan Young

Well there be a debt ceiling showdown before 2025?89%

Lars Doucet

Conditional on the threat of a government shutdown, will president Biden “mint the coin?"4%

Bolton Bailey

Conditional on imminent US debt default, will Biden mint "The Coin"?41%

Tripping

Will the US Treasury issue bonds with a face value different to sale value in 2023 to get around debt ceiling issues?3%

Predictor 🔥

Will any wealth tax bill pass in the US Congress during Joe Biden’s presidential term?6%

David Davidson

Will the US default on its debt by the end of 2023?2%

Nick Allen

Will McCarthy make it to July without needing to be reelected as speaker?86%

Jeff B.-K.

Will Biden’s student debt forgiveness program ever payout?39%

Lars Doucet

Will the Republican "abolish the IRS" house bill actually get a floor vote?57%

Jack

Will the US government default (fail to pay its bills on time, not just Treasury debt) in 2023?2%