Could happen after the end of official hurricane season and still count.
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Landfall Hurricanes in TX in Sep 1991-2022
Category 1 total in TX in Sep 1991-2022: 2
Category 2 total in TX in Sep 1991-2022: 1
Category 3 total in TX in Sep 1991-2022: 1
Category 4 total in TX in Sep 1991-2022: 0
Category 5 total in TX in Sep 1991-2022: 0
Total Hurricanes making landfall in TX in Sep 1991-2022: 4
Hurricanes per year in TX in Sep 1991-2022 : 0.12
Expected probability (poisson) of exactly 0 landfalling hurricanes (PMF) based on averages in TX in Sep 1991-2022: 0.882
My base rate puts it at 12% now. (as ~0% chance of it happening Oct-Dec)
Nothing in the forecasts I can see either that would develop at the moment to impact Texas.
@AlQuinn Tropical Storm Harold makes landfall in Texas, marking the first US landfall of the Atlantic hurricane season - CNN