How would Elon Musk respond if a Delaware judge were to order him to close the Twitter deal at $54.20?
Elon musk•Law & Order
13
15
resolved Jan 14
ResolvedN/A
0.0%
Refuse to comply with court order and press issue to Supreme Court
11%
Refuse to comply and call court bluff (go about business as if nothing happened)
20%
Do as ordered and be a man of his word
0.0%
Proclaim not to recognize the authority of the DE court
11%
Double down on accusations that Twitter board and management has conspired to commit securities fraud for nearly a decade by knowingly misrepresenting the true number of bots among DAUs
1.7%
Accuse someone of being a pedophile
0.0%
Appeal the decision and eventually reach a settlement where he doesn't buy twitter.
This market will resolve according to my judgement at least 3 months after a ruling by a Delaware judge that enforces a specific performance clause in the acquisition agreement Musk signed with Twitter which orders him to liquidate and tender approximately $33B to fund and close the deal at the current price of $54.20. I would say 'be creative' but this is Elon Musk so What Would Lex Luthor Do? Jul 10, 8:01pm: See this market https://manifold.markets/BTE/will-a-delaware-judge-order-elon-mu for a trigger on this market from passive to active
Get Ṁ200 play money

Related questions

5 Comments
37 Trades
Sort by:
The probabilities given here are insane (23% chance of complying with a court order, seriously?) but I'm not going to bet in this market because (1) it's a conditional market on something that almost certainly will not happen, and (2) I don't fully trust the accuracy of resolution.
@JamesBabcock yeah this is why I made a binary market for this question https://manifold.markets/ahalekelly/if-a-delaware-court-orders-elon-mus
https://www.mediaite.com/tv/cnbcs-david-faber-predicts-elon-musk-could-go-to-jail-for-bailing-on-twitter-purchase/
answered
Refuse to comply with court order and press issue to Supreme Court
bought Ṁ25
@JamesBabcock good point. sold this position.
answered
Refuse to comply with court order and press issue to Supreme Court
@BTE This phrasing is ambiguous; there will almost certainly be appeals, and any injunction will almost certainly be delayed while appeals are pending, but the appeals will be handled by lesser courts and not the Delaware Supreme Court or by SCOTUS.

Related in Elon musk

See more Elon musk questions

Related in Law & Order

See more Law & Order questions

More related questions