Resolution criteria

This binary market will resolve to the percentage probability (the "YES" probability) displayed on the market page at exactly 5:00 PM CDT on Labor Day, September 7, 2026.

• Example: If the market's probability is 64% at the designated time, the market will resolve to 64% YES.

• Outages/Technical Issues: If the platform is inaccessible or experiencing an outage at 5:00 PM CDT, the resolution will be determined using the last recorded probability in the market's trade history graph prior to 5:00 PM CDT on September 7, 2026.

Background

This is a self-resolving calibration market. It is not tied to any external real-world event or news. Instead, it is designed to test pricing and settle at whatever probability traders agree on by the closing time on US Labor Day 2026.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.