Resolution Criteria

The game will be played on Saturday, December 6, 2025 at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, broadcast on FOX at 8 p.m. The market resolves YES if Ohio State defeats Indiana in this game. The market resolves NO if Indiana wins or if the game ends in a tie. Resolution will be determined by the final score as reported on ESPN or FOX Sports.

Background

Both teams enter undefeated at 12-0 with 9-0 Big Ten records, ranked No. 1 Ohio State and No. 2 Indiana. This marks Indiana's first appearance in the Big Ten Championship Game and the first time Indiana has won a share of the Big Ten regular season championship since 1967. Ohio State won last year's game 38-15 and leads the series 81-12-5, with Indiana seeking its first win over Ohio State since 1988. Ohio State is favored by approximately 5.5 points, while ESPN's FPI model gives Indiana a 50.6% chance to win.

Considerations

Ohio State ranks No. 1 in scoring defense, allowing just 7.8 points per game, while Indiana is the nation's No. 2 scoring defense at 10.9 points allowed per game. Ohio State quarterback Julian Sayin owns the No. 1 completion percentage in college football history at 78.9%. Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza is a Heisman Trophy contender with 2,758 passing yards, 32 touchdowns and five interceptions. This is the first game between the two schools played on a neutral site.