Resolution criteria

The market resolves YES if Georgia defeats Ole Miss on January 1, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET, as broadcast on ESPN. The game will be played at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana. Resolution will be determined by the final score as reported on ESPN's official game page.

Background

This is a College Football Playoff Quarterfinal at the Allstate Sugar Bowl. Georgia is making its second straight appearance in the College Football Playoff and fourth in the past five seasons, while Ole Miss advanced to the Playoff Quarterfinals after a 41-10 first-round victory against No. 11 Tulane. Georgia leads the all-time series 35-13-1, winning this year's SEC meeting, 43-35. Georgia handed Ole Miss its only loss of the season on October 18 in Athens. Ole Miss is now led by Pete Golding, who was the defensive coordinator under former head coach Lane Kiffin.

Considerations

Ole Miss is a 6.5-point underdog against Georgia. Georgia's defense has played significantly better since the first Ole Miss game, giving up just two touchdowns and 128 total rushing yards in the previous four games.