Resolution Criteria

The game is scheduled for Wednesday, December 31, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET at AT&T Stadium. The market resolves YES if Ohio State defeats Miami in this College Football Playoff quarterfinal. Resolution will be determined by the final score as reported on ESPN or the official College Football Playoff website.

Background

Ohio State is the defending national champion, while Miami made its College Football Playoff debut with a 10-2 regular season record and earned its first College Football Playoff victory with a 10-3 win against Texas A&M. Ohio State finished the regular season 12-0 before suffering their first loss in the Big Ten Championship Game against Indiana.

Ohio State leads the all-time series 3-2, with the teams last meeting on September 17, 2011 when Miami won 24-6. Ohio State's last postseason victory over Miami came in the 2003 Fiesta Bowl national championship game, 31-24 in double overtime.

Considerations

Ohio State opened as a 9.5-point favorite, with the line immediately dropping to 8.5 points. Ohio State's quarterback Julian Sayin is a Heisman Trophy finalist with an FBS-best 78.4% completion percentage and throws to elite receivers Carnell Tate and Jeremiah Smith. Miami generated just 278 yards of total offense against Texas A&M and faces a difficult challenge against Ohio State's defense.