[Polymarket] 'Dune: Part Two' Total Domestic Box Office '>300M$'
15
172
320
May 15
1.4%
chance

Resolves as the corresponding Polymarket market (https://polymarket.com/event/dune-part-two-total-domestic-box-office/will-dune-part-two-gross-more-than-300m-by-may-15?tid=1712013854803):
"""
The market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Dune: Part Two' (2024) grosses more than $300,000,000 domestically through May 15, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is Box Office Mojo. Specifically the "To Date" tab on (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15239678/) will be used, summing up all daily gross amounts through May 15 (inclusive).

Note, only finalized gross amounts will be used - estimates will not be used.

If the data is not available on the resolution source by May 19, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, then another credible source will be chosen and checked.
"""

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I'm still seeing some action at Polymarket around ~7%, so I'll put up a large-ish limit order for NO at 7%, in case anyone wants action. (expiring at the end of the weekend, in case I need to reevaluate—atm, I don't think there's a chance it hits $300M by May 15)

opened a Ṁ250 NO at 12% order

I put limit orders around the current Polymarket prices. (I am happy to make larger bets, just send me a DM)