
Will Israel launch a full ground incursion into Lebanon?
45
1kṀ8075resolved Jan 13
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%94%
10,000+
1.4%
Less than 2,000 soldiers
2%
2,000-5,000 soldiers
3%
5,000-10,000
Only official IDF reports, statements, or publicly released data will be considered for evaluating the size of the operation.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@GazDownright I’d like to think there’s room for inferral from IDF statements. If the IDF have said that they’ve deployed four divisions, and a division has a known number of troops, then we should take that as a statement of people deployed.
Israel has sent four divisions into Lebanon: https://amp-theguardian-com.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/amp.theguardian.com/world/2024/oct/08/israel-lebanon-ground-offensive-hezbollah-gaza?amp_js_v=0.1&_gsa=1#webview=1
The Guardian says that means that the total number of troops on the ground is around 15k. But I don't think Israel will give an exact number.