Chechen Leader Ramzan Kadyrov dies this year?
closes Jan 1

According to some news outlets, Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov, a close ally of Russian President Vladimir Putin, is reportedly in a coma due to a serious illness.

This market will resolve as YES if Kadyrov dies before 2024, regardless of the cause of death.

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KongoLandwalker avatar
Kongo Landwalkerpredicts NO

Has anybody calculated deathrate of Novichok and other poisonings? From the cases which went public I think it is less than 50%. But that is a clean example of survivor bias.