Chechen Leader Ramzan Kadyrov dies this year?
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According to some news outlets, Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov, a close ally of Russian President Vladimir Putin, is reportedly in a coma due to a serious illness.
This market will resolve as YES if Kadyrov dies before 2024, regardless of the cause of death.
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This doesn't settle anything, of course, but make me update toward him not being on his deathbed right now.
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9% chance