Will Will Brown still be the smartest member of PrimeIntellect by EOY2026?
1
Never closes
YES
no
See results
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the term Super Intelligence replace Artificial intelligence before EOY
2% chance
Will "The Intelligence Curse" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "The Tale of the Top-Tier Intellect" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Intelligence Is Not Magic, But Your Threshold..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will Sam Altman have babby by EOY 2026?
98% chance
Will xAI be #1 on Artificial Analysis Index by EOY 2026?
9% chance
Will Alex Damian become a tenured MIT prof by EOY2031?
31% chance
[Will Brown] Will Transformative AI look like an abundance of specialized models, in August 2027?
11% chance
Will Sam Altman still be alive by EOY 2045?
76% chance
Will we know who https://x.com/scaling01 is by EOY2040?
50% chance