Will Jose Luis Ricon attend orgy in 2025?
Will Jose Luis Ricon attend orgy in 2025?
5
100Ṁ148Dec 31
14%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will Jose Luis Ricon come to a palladium party in 2025?
12% chance
Will Jose Luis Ricon have his own cult by eoy2025
11% chance
Will Jose Luis Ricon (JLR!!!!!!) have a birthday party in 2025?
69% chance
Will Jose Luis Ricon ever have another crush by 2030?
59% chance
Will Jose Luis Ricon get someone pregnant by EOY2030?
50% chance
Will Jose Luis Ricon get married AND create a new babby (#RiconBabby) by 2035?
83% chance
Will Jose Ricon have a personal army/cult by 2035
10% chance
Will Jose Luis Ricon have kids out of wedlock [like a proper European] by 2035?
36% chance
Will Jose Luis Ricon successfully spread a case of COVID to someone else by EOY 2025?
21% chance
Will Jose Luis Ricon get AIDS by 2040?
14% chance