Jesse Richardson is a highly-accomplished election trader. For this 2024 election, he's been soliciting EA-aligned investors to increase his total bankroll:

I've spoken with Jesse on the phone; Marcus Abramovitch and Peter Wildeford also vouched for his skills. I decided to put in $150k via Manifund into this; profits are split 50/25/25 between Jesse, my regrantor budget, and Manifund treasury; losses are owned by me, coming out of my regrantor budget first and then my personal finances (aka I would personally donate to Manifund to make up the loss).

Will I regret this, ~1 week after the election? Some reasons I might:

• If the investment ends up losing >$50k

• If I'm convinced that doing this was very bad for Manifund optics

• If I'm convinced that this was very -EV in expectation somehow

(nb I usually don't regret things I do, but eg I once got scammed out of $2k on a fake craigslist rental and regret that)

See also:

• /Austin/if-manifund-loans-250k-to-marcusabr

• /Austin/will-lightcone-repay-their-300k-loa

Jesse's still looking for more EA-aligned investors, so if you're interested reach out to me and I can connect you.