Will I donate a kidney?
19
326
Ṁ581Ṁ390
2028
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if I've donated a kidney, NO if I haven't and haven't made any concrete plans to do so within 5 years. (If I have concrete plans to do so, I will extend this market's close date.)
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will I have donated a kidney by my 18.5th birthday?
38% chance
Will I donate to Mriya at least Ṁ100,000 by the end of 2024?
72% chance
How many people will follow Scott Alexander's example and donate a kidney?
If I donate a kidney, will I regret it 10 years afterwards?
48% chance
If I donate a kidney, will I regret it 1 week afterwards?
32% chance
Will I donate >$2k by the end of 2024?
64% chance
When will the waiting list for kidney transplants in the US be eliminated?
Will I sign up for cryonics?
46% chance
If I donate a kidney, will I regret it 1 month afterwards?
26% chance
Will I donate my kidney before 2026?
16% chance