How many distinct market types will Manifold support by the end of Q3?
8
6
100
resolved Oct 5
Resolved
2

Today we have Yes/No, Numeric, and Free response. New types we're considering:

  • Date markets: "When will Anthony's next game launch?"

  • Fixed multi-category markets: "Will Alice, Bob, or Carol win the race?"

  • Futures: "What will Solana be worth on Aug 1?"

  • Perp swaps: "Price of Solana in USD"

Plus, if we start on https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/Smart-Contracts-on-Web2-ccc9b13eb5a748d69b4a6c5624812d60

, we might have a giant influx of new market types.

We might also decide to remove one or some of these, of course!

Close date updated to 2022-09-30 11:59 pm

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bought Ṁ10 of LOWER

I'm assuming you don't count continued support of numeric markets by duplicating existing ones.

@MartinRandall Yup, that's correct. Basically will resolve to the number of different options from the /create page

Idea: Bounty markets/discussions Those do not have any resolution criteria, but share that the author says "I'll tip X if this happens" (for instance "I will give M$100 to people who make me see a flaw in this argument" or "I will give at least X for good game recommendation") I think this would work way better than brainstorming free response markets are doing now
bought Ṁ0 of HIGHER
@JoyVoid Bounties would be super useful! I'm imagining someone putting up a bounty for some feature or bug fix, and others adding to it until someone claims it
I can definitely create a bunch of date markets the second they get added.
What's the difference between futures and numeric?
I think "Will Alice, Bob, or Carol win the race" does not need a specific market type, it should be multi-category and then the author manually disables via checkbox whether or not to allow for users input
It'd be nice to choose your own meanings for YES/NO, e.g. Food Sin/ Food Win
would this be a new market type?
I could see it being fixed multi-category but it's possible a single yes/no category
@ian Yeah that sounds like multi-category with n = 2 to me, haha