Will I have + profit on Manifold by the end of April?
24
490Ṁ11k
resolved May 1
Resolved
YES

This site is too darn addictive. I seem to suck at it though after doubling down on thinking Trump wouldn't be arrested, and rather morbidly that Jimmy Carter might pass away.

Resolves YES if my profile page reports a positive (or zero) profit in the graph as of the beginning of the day on the 1st May. It seems to show local timezone, so I'll be using my local timezone (London/UK). Resolves NO otherwise.

I may hold a YES position here. I'm not intending to do any deliberate manipulation of my own markets in order to gain a profit by that means.

Ethical disclaimer: as an explicit exception, this market will resolve NO in the event somebody assassinates the two aforementioned former presidents, and their self-professed motive was to put me in profit such that they can profit from this market, unless I would have made a profit without those events happening.

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