@mods can we get a resolution? market creator is inactive

the problem with war these days is no one can agree on a definition. that's kinda the problem.

https://manifold.markets/ArunSinghChandel/will-israel-go-to-war-against-iran#bsd5urkadew

ok. Well i don't think that it's really an official war. To my knowledge no major news sources have called it an actual war, and per the oxford definition "a state of armed conflict between different nations or states or different groups within a nation or state" it's not much of a war, unless you count one missile barrage.

I think this war has started

Please clarify the resolution criteria for this!

@ArunSinghChandel Iran is currently responding to Israel's deadly attack on their embassy in Damascus with a deadly attck on Israeli soil, targeting multiple military targets. If Israel in turn strikes Iran again, wouldn't it be fair to say that they are now at war (even though they do not share a border and are not invading)?

@Panfilo I assumed this was referring to a formal declaration of war.

@TimothyJohnson5c16 But those virtually never happen in contemporary times. Russia never declared war on Ukraine.

Formal declarations virtually never happen, but on the other side if Israel strikes Iran in response and then nothing happens no-one will call this a war

@JoshuaWilkes We need clarity because it doesn't say "invades" or mention a number of casualties or anything, so it could mean anything from what's currently happening already to World War 3.

@Panfilo agreed that we definitely need clarity, but I really don't think that what is currently happening can or should qualify.