Will this market get me a job in 2024?
Will this market get me a job in 2024?
9
1kṀ1577resolved Dec 31
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Blatant incentive market, initialized at 10%. For this to resolve YES, I need to get a job in direct connection to this market; it is not sufficient for me to get a job by other means. Examples of this would be if I get a job based on discussion in the comments or if this market is explicitly mentioned by an employer. My resume is available at https://arizerner.com/resume/ and I'm happy to answer questions in the comments. It's likely that any job I get based on this market will be a software engineer role, but not necessary for a YES resolution.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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