Will Overwatch 2 have less average active players than Team Fortress 2, in the first month of its Steam release?
Basic
17
Ṁ9295
resolved Sep 12
Resolved
YES

Overwatch 2 is coming to steam! Will it have less active players in its first month, than the much older Team Fortress 2?

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predictedYES

resolves YES

predictedYES

Overwatch 2 is tracking at about 35k average, and team fortress 2 is at about 115k average

https://steamdb.info/app/440/charts/
https://steamdb.info/app/2357570/charts/
basically guaranteed at this point. I think even if tf2 fell to 0 until close, overwatch would have to rise to 100k to even become even, average wise.

predictedNO

Wow, TF2 is still more popular than I thought.

Why did you reschedule the closing date? Is it because the outcome is so clear?

predictedYES

@gigab0nus obviously no one should be able to vote while the month is going... Unfortunately i have only now noticed it, thanks to you comment. I have not yet looked at the numbers.

@Arda oh why should noone vote while the month is going on? That is part of the fun.

predictedYES

@gigab0nus yeah maybe but thats not what i had intended lol, amyway its done now. How are the numbers currently, did overwatch already overtake tf2 by a significant amount?

predictedYES

@Arda ehm, we should talk about your question...

If Overwatch 2 has much fewer players, then this will resolve YES, right?

predictedYES
predictedYES

@Arda okay. At the moment Team Fortress has 4 times the amount of players, according to Steam Charts · Most Played Games on Steam · SteamDB

predictedYES

@gigab0nus So you are really going to lock my mana up for a whole month? Usually things stay open until the last second, so updated information can be used in the market.

predictedYES

@gigab0nus god damn, that is hilarious, i thought it was more likely that Overwatch will beat it tbh but still rooted for tf2... Well hope they lern from this

predictedYES

@gigab0nus i will think about it, but i think it misses the point to vote for something when the outcome is clear. You were supposed to wager before the month starts

predictedYES

@Arda yep, only 9% like the game. I have no idea what they messed up. We used to have fun with Overwatch some years ago.

predictedYES

@gigab0nus im playing since 2016 release, they do deserve it. I dont think this will make them change anything, but it is a good message

predictedYES

@Arda you will get much more engagement when you keep the market open. The fun is using updated information until the last moment

@gigab0nus aight i messed it up anyway, have your fun 😂

This is only about the steam version, right?

predictedYES

@gigab0nus correct

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