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MANIFOLD
[2024 Formula 1 Season] Will Oscar Piastri or Daniel Ricciardo win a race?
38
Ṁ1kṀ11k
resolved Jul 21
Resolved
YES

[THIS IS FOR THE 2024 SEASON]

Resolves YES if either Oscar Piastri or Daniel Ricciardo win a race during the 2024 season, not including sprints.

This includes victories from promotions due to penalties. For example if Max Verstappen won a race, but was disqualified or otherwise penalised down the finishing order, so that either Oscar Piastri or Daniel Ricciardo is promoted to 1st, the market would resolve YES.

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Even if every Ferrari, RBR, McLaren, Mercedes and Alonso all DNFed, I'd only give DR a 20-25% chance of winning the race.

@Enlil If all those have DNFed, I give 95% chance that DR has also had the same fate.