Will RCV affect the outcome of the 2024 Presidential Election?
10
59
á¹€451á¹€235
2025
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Currently, two states (Maine and Alaska) use RCV for the presidential election. This market resolves YES if:
The final winner in Alaska, Maine at-large, either of Maine's congressional districts, or in any other state which adopts RCV before the election, is not the same as the first round plurality winner
The number of affected electoral college votes is greater than the final electoral college vote margin.
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