TL;DR bet on which word is the most likely to be the next word in a valid haiku.

The Haiku so far:

Brings bayesian slowly

Singularity yes

Background here:

The next word will be chosen from the sorted list of words, with the highest weighted one first. For each word, we will either choose it as the next word with 50% probability, or skip it and evaluate the next word.

All markets will resolve when either 1) a valid haiku has been created or 2) the process has failed to produce a valid haiku, in which case the “failure” options in each market that has one will pay out.

Unique modifications to this market:

This market will resolve N/A if the haiku fails.

I have enabled the new feature to add new answers after the market is created. Please suggest words that you would like added, using the comments.

I will not trade in these markets, with the single exception that I may buy 'Haiku fails' shares to disincentivize gaming towards that outcome.

Since these are experimental, I may modify the mechanism to avoid unintended consequences/gaming, preserving as much as possible the original intent and mechanism.

Before closing, I will post the hash of the script that will make the final word decision, deterministically randomized based on the final state of the market. This is to prove that I have no discretion or control over the outcome. I'll post the script(s) once all the markets using them are resolved.

Script hash: 448cea30b7b2e47dd53d84562226f751