Basic
11
3.7k
resolved Sep 11
Resolved as
8%

Resolves to a percentage, with the formula:

Max(0,(2*(X-50)))

Where X is the current price of this market at the close:
https://manifold.markets/ManifoldPolitics/if-joe-biden-drops-out-and-endorses

This functions as a call option on Kamala winning the election, with a strike of 50% and expiry on Sept 1.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

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I tried to re-resolve, but I don't see a way, maybe it has to be done by @mods ? It should resolve to 8%

@Ansel done

That market was not at 51% on September 1st. We need a re-resolve

@CainanKeyles My bad, I misread the historical price the first time. Here's a screenshot for the avoidance of doubt:

@Ansel resolves?

opened a Ṁ2,000 NO at 20% order

love the format!

Thanks!