Federal Reserve March Prop Bets: https://manifold.markets/tv
52
4.9kแน26kresolved Mar 25
Resolved
YESThe Audience Laughs
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YESPowell says "dual mandate"
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YESPowell says "PCE"
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YESA Washington Post journalist asked a question
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YESYouTube livestream longer than 1 hour 45 minutes
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YESA Financial Times journalist asked a question
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YESA WSJ journalist gets to ask Powell a question
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YESPowell says the word "Strong" 5 times or more
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YESPowell takes off his glasses before exiting the stage (n/a if not shown)
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YESPowell says "Maximum employment and stable prices"
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YESPowell says "inflation expectations"
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YES"tight" is used to describe the labor market
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YESPowell mentions that rates are currently restrictive
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YESPowell talks about inflation in the services sector
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YESPowell mentions that we could need tighter policy conditional on events
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YES"housing price" mentioned
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YESPowell mentions the pandemic
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NOSomeone asks Powell about the above-expectation Feb payroll print
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NOPowell talks about Taylor Rule
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NO"soft landing" exactly mentioned
The Federal Reserve will hold its next policy meeting on March 19-20, 2024. After a decision is made and statement published, Jerome Powell will give an elaborate speech in the FOMC Press Conference on Wed Mar 20th, 2024 13:30 EST.
Analysts pay close attention to the tone of the speech at the FOMC Press Conference and analyse what gets to be mentioned to determine whether the Fed is hawkish or dovish and what could be its next move.
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