Will I be alive through 2052?
8
140Ṁ2812053
88%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Nothing personal but
/Tripping/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th-6d1e8126d974
Implies that this should be no more than 73% at time of writing.
@vlad I'm twenty years old at the moment. Histories of colon cancer, alcoholism, and depression. I live in a developed country and am not likely to become homeless. The market mostly exists for fun.
Related questions
Related questions
Will I be alive at the end of 2025?
98% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2050?
76% chance
Will I be alive by 2100?
34% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2040?
83% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2060?
64% chance
Will I be alive in 2116?
25% chance
Will I live to see 2026?
94% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2070?
65% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2100?
26% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2080?
44% chance