Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will Charles Leclerc finish ahead of Carlos Sainz in the 2023 Formula 1 (F1) World Drivers Championship?
24
Ṁ410Ṁ6.5k
resolved Dec 4
Resolved
YES

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ348
2Ṁ102
3Ṁ60
4Ṁ26
5Ṁ22
Sort by:

This can resolve YES

As of October 28, 2023, Sainz has outscored Leclerc by 20 points in the 2023 Drivers' Championship, with one more race win and one more podium finish. Sainz has outqualified Leclerc in four races in a row, gaining on his qualifying pace. In recent races, Sainz has finished ahead of Leclerc on three occasions. Leclerc has had more reliability problems and has retired from three races this season, while Sainz has only retired once. Ferrari may favor Sainz over Leclerc due to his better form, reliability, and Ferrari's focus on his car development.

Considering the following facts:

  1. 5 Races Left in the season

  2. Mercedes and Mclaren performance improvement over Ferrari

  3. Assuming Ferrari finish in 6 (8 points) & 7 (6 points) place in the last 5 races

Charles is at 145 points currently in 6th position in the Drivers standings and Sainz is in 5th position with 153 points. 8 points difference. If Charles was to finish 4/5 races ahead of Sainz, he would still be short of 2 points and finish behind Sainz with 183 points vs 185 for Sainz