Will "The Waluigi Effect (mega-post)" reach >=1k upvotes on LessWrong by the end of 2023?
Less Wrong•Waluigi•New Year's Resolutions 2024
89
240
Ṁ1.7K
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

This post:

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/D7PumeYTDPfBTp3i7/the-waluigi-effect-mega-post

Mar 6, 6:07pm: Will "The Waluigi Effect (mega-post)" reach 1k upvotes by the end of 2023? → Will "The Waluigi Effect (mega-post)" reach >=1k upvotes by the end of 2023?

Mar 6, 6:17pm: Will "The Waluigi Effect (mega-post)" reach >=1k upvotes by the end of 2023? → Will "The Waluigi Effect (mega-post)" reach >=1k upvotes on LessWrong by the end of 2023?

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predicted YES

552

bought Ṁ10 of NO

This seems quite improbable : https://www.lesswrong.com/allPosts?timeframe=allTime&sortedBy=top

bought Ṁ50 of YES

Wahs together, strong 💪

predicted YES

@dmayhem93

bought Ṁ1,100 of NO

I feel dirty betting on "no", but I truly don't expect that to happen ૮ ◞ ﻌ ◟ ა

Also that sweet sweet mana... (ᴗ*•̀ᴥ•́)

predicted YES

It's halfway there :)

predicted YES

@firstuserhere its

bought Ṁ20 of NO

Its a good post, but going to the LW home page I see “Politics is the mindkiller” hasn’t made a quarter of the target number after 6 years…

Thanks for the recommendation though!

Do you mean karma score, or number of votes (those are both visible) or number of positive votes (not easily visible)?

predicted NO

@Multicore If you made a market out of this question I would bet on "karma score" up until 99.9%

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