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Will "The Waluigi Effect (mega-post)" reach >=1k upvotes on LessWrong by the end of 2023?
89
Ṁ1.7kṀ50k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

This post:

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/D7PumeYTDPfBTp3i7/the-waluigi-effect-mega-post

Mar 6, 6:07pm: Will "The Waluigi Effect (mega-post)" reach 1k upvotes by the end of 2023? → Will "The Waluigi Effect (mega-post)" reach >=1k upvotes by the end of 2023?

Mar 6, 6:17pm: Will "The Waluigi Effect (mega-post)" reach >=1k upvotes by the end of 2023? → Will "The Waluigi Effect (mega-post)" reach >=1k upvotes on LessWrong by the end of 2023?

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predictedYES

552

This seems quite improbable : https://www.lesswrong.com/allPosts?timeframe=allTime&sortedBy=top

Wahs together, strong 💪

predictedYES

@dmayhem93

I feel dirty betting on "no", but I truly don't expect that to happen ૮ ◞ ﻌ ◟ ა

Also that sweet sweet mana... (ᴗ*•̀ᴥ•́)

predictedYES

It's halfway there :)

predictedYES

@firstuserhere its

Its a good post, but going to the LW home page I see “Politics is the mindkiller” hasn’t made a quarter of the target number after 6 years…

Thanks for the recommendation though!

Do you mean karma score, or number of votes (those are both visible) or number of positive votes (not easily visible)?

predictedNO

@Multicore If you made a market out of this question I would bet on "karma score" up until 99.9%

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