Will Donald Trump's polling average fall below 45% during the primaries?
29
570แน32kresolved Mar 20
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-r/2024/national/.
Market resolves NO once Donald Trump becomes the nominee.
Resolves YES if at any point (after market creation) before then, his 538 polling average drops below 45.0%, or he drops out of the race/dies.
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