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@AndrewCanonaco the mod policy won't allow them to reopen this market and it's misresolved. I've lost a chunk of mana because of this incorrect resolution and I'd appreciate it if you would reopen it until Haley officially drops out and we know whether or not she endorses Trump.
@AndrewCanonaco I lost hundreds of mana, I didn't profit. She hadn't dropped out yet when you resolved (it happened a couple of hours later) and she definitely hadn't made a speech indicating whether or not she would endorse. This was premature.
@AndrewCanonaco she didn't announce it! There were tons of articles that were rumoured about her suspending. She hadn't officially done it and there was no official word from her or her camp when you resolved. Seeing an article in WSJ that she will likely suspend is not a suspension.
@shankypanky Look at NBC news she made a speech and has officially dropped out. No more arguing. Don’t put all your eggs in one basket then. Your net value is higher than most people on here. Don’t be greedy
@AndrewCanonaco she has now but she didn't when you resolved. I'm not being greedy, I'm asking you to resolve when information is true and relevant and confirmed and not before.
@shankypanky As of this morning when I resolved she had suspended. Multiple news outlets reported that. It was not rumored. It happened. I’m sorry your trade didn’t line up
@AndrewCanonaco your timing is wrong and I'm not arguing with you about it either. it happened after you resolved. I'm done here.
@AndrewCanonaco At the time of market resolution, Haley has not officially dropped out, and the news was based on rumors from WSJ. The resolotion was premature. Haley dropped out with her speech starting at 10 a.m. ET. You can easily prove us wrong by providing a source. However, spreading misinformation without any proof is not the way to go on a truth-seeking platform like Manifold.
No one on Manifold has an issue with market creators who make mistakes (at least most don't have). However, taking responsibility for your mistakes and issuing an apology go a long way. Personal attacks are inappropriate.
https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/nikki-haley-drops-out-2024-presidential-election-625277ca
@shankypanky I want to adjust my positions and this is a preemptive resolution. The official resignation hasn't come and there's no way to confirm the endorsement or not. @AndrewCanonaco please unresolve before the announcement comes.