Will at least one participant in the 2026 USACO training camp be a cheater?

Question

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if, by the end of May 2026, at least one participant in the 2026 USACO training camp is found to have cheated their way into camp. Resolution requires evidence that a participant cheated in a USACO contest or at camp, or evidence that they are well below the skill level indicated by their performance. This market resolves NO if no such confirmed cases emerge by June 2026.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 1% chance (29 traders, as of May 31, 2026).

Resolution Criteria

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