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Mainstream media coverage of biblical extraterrestrial theories increases by January 1, 2026

45% chance

Will a Longtermist act of pre-emptive violence be reported by multiple credible news sources by 1st Jan 2028?

19% chance

Will there be a warning shot before October 20, 2026?

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bought Ṁ25 YES

You could just make this happen for the bet. Stack up a bunch of Bibles until it is thick enough to reliably stop bullets, then have someone stand behind it.

with the numbers of guns shot in this country, and the number of bibles, and the relative distributions of those two being somewhat overlapping. i’ll say, maybe

@mattyb and you need a news media to report on it somehow

I was going to ask if News agencies still report on such stuff, then I remembered TV channels still exist

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Mainstream media coverage of biblical extraterrestrial theories increases by January 1, 2026

45% chance

Will a Longtermist act of pre-emptive violence be reported by multiple credible news sources by 1st Jan 2028?

19% chance

Will there be a warning shot before October 20, 2026?

15% chance

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