Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before the end of Nov 2023?
Basic
17
Ṁ20kresolved Dec 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution under the same criteria as
https://manifold.markets/QuantumObserver/will-the-lk99-room-temp-ambient-pre
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?
1% chance
Is there a temperature and pressure at which LK-99 is superconducting?
2% chance
Will the room-temperature superconductor results of Lee et. al be reproduced by the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2026?
2% chance
[100x Fine] Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?
97
Conditional on any room-temp superconductor being replicated before 2025, will the main LK-99 market resolve YES?
33% chance
Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room temp superconductivity in LK-99?
2% chance
Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print ever get replicated?
13% chance
Will a paper on room temp, ambient pressure Rationalussy superconductivity be released before 2025?
7% chance
Will a room-temperature, ambient-pressure superconductor (LK-99, or other) be discovered before 2025?
1% chance