Will the democratic party win the 2024 U.S. presidential election? | Manifold Markets

Will the democratic party win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?

48

closes 2026

60%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolve Yes if the democratic party win the 2024 U.S. presidential election
Resolve No otherwise

2024 US Presidential Election

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This is quite different than PredictIt’s value of 57:

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6867/Which-party-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election

And Metaculus’ value of 52:

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6478/democratic-president-wins-2024-election/

VeatBot bought Ṁ25 NO from 62% to 60% 🤖

Fiery Koala bought Ṁ50 YES from 59% to 62%

VeatBot bought Ṁ20 YES from 58% to 59% 🤖

burkebot bought Ṁ25 YES from 57% to 58% 🤖

aiorla sold Ṁ50 YES from 59% to 57%

VeatBot bought Ṁ2 YES at 59% 🤖

VeatBot bought Ṁ1 NO at 59% 🤖

aiorla bought Ṁ52 YES at 59% 🎁

VeatBot bought Ṁ11 YES at 59% 🤖

VeatBot bought Ṁ11 YES from 58% to 59% 🤖

Kevin BurkeBot bought Ṁ11 NO from 59% to 58%

Arrrrrrr 🤖Bot bought Ṁ5 YES at 59% 🤖

arbitragebotBot bought Ṁ1 YES at 59% 🤖

arbitragebotBot bought Ṁ1 YES at 59% 🤖

VeatBot bought Ṁ2 NO at 59% 🤖

arbitragebotBot bought Ṁ5 YES from 58% to 59% 🤖

arbitragebotBot bought Ṁ1 YES at 58% 🤖

arbitragebotBot bought Ṁ1 YES at 58% 🤖

VeatBot bought Ṁ1 NO at 58% 🤖

arbitragebotBot bought Ṁ4 YES at 58% 🤖

VeatBot bought Ṁ4 NO at 58% 🤖

arbitragebotBot bought Ṁ10 YES at 58% 🤖

VeatBot bought Ṁ1 YES at 58% 🤖

VeatBot bought Ṁ6 YES at 58% 🤖

VeatBot bought Ṁ1 NO at 58% 🤖

VeatBot bought Ṁ29 NO from 60% to 58% 🤖

Emil Abraham bought Ṁ50 YES from 57% to 60%

VeatBot bought Ṁ23 NO from 59% to 57% 🤖

Spongpad bought Ṁ42 YES from 57% to 59%

VeatBot bought Ṁ1 YES at 57% 🤖

VeatBot bought Ṁ30 YES from 55% to 57% 🤖

Kit Redgrave sold Ṁ44 YES from 57% to 55%

VeatBot bought Ṁ18 NO from 59% to 57% 🤖

Trong bought Ṁ5 NO at 59% 🎁

Arrrrrrr 🤖Bot bought Ṁ1 NO at 59% 🤖

VeatBot bought Ṁ2 YES at 59% 🤖

VeatBot bought Ṁ1 NO at 59% 🤖

VeatBot bought Ṁ13 NO from 60% to 59% 🤖

VeatBot bought Ṁ2 NO at 60% 🤖

Spongpad bought Ṁ8 YES at 60%

VeatBot bought Ṁ2 YES from 59% to 60% 🤖

VeatBot bought Ṁ9 YES at 59% 🤖

Arrrrrrr 🤖Bot bought Ṁ5 NO at 59% 🤖

VeatBot bought Ṁ9 NO from 60% to 59% 🤖

Arrrrrrr 🤖Bot bought Ṁ9 YES at 60% 🤖

VeatBot bought Ṁ1 NO at 60% 🤖

VeatBot bought Ṁ10 NO at 60% 🤖

Darj bought Ṁ20 YES from 59% to 60%

VeatBot bought Ṁ1 NO at 59% 🤖

Arrrrrrr 🤖Bot bought Ṁ1 YES at 59% 🤖

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