Will the democratic party win the 2024 U.S. presidential election? | Manifold

Will the democratic party win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?

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133

Ṁ50k

resolved Nov 7

Resolved

NO

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolve Yes if the democratic party win the 2024 U.S. presidential election
Resolve No otherwise

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#🇺🇸 US Politics

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

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reposted

dem drama bump...

It’s impossible for a party to win an election in the US- should resolve no

limit order up at 66% if anyone wants a lot of YES

This is quite different than PredictIt’s value of 57:

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6867/Which-party-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election

And Metaculus’ value of 52:

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6478/democratic-president-wins-2024-election/

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