
Will the democratic party win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
48
closes 2026
60%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolve Yes if the democratic party win the 2024 U.S. presidential election
Resolve No otherwise
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This is quite different than PredictIt’s value of 57:
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6867/Which-party-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election
And Metaculus’ value of 52:
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6478/democratic-president-wins-2024-election/
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22 YES payouts
Ṁ989
Ṁ215
Ṁ150
Ṁ145
Ṁ109
Ṁ85
Ṁ82
Ṁ80
Ṁ49
Ṁ43
Ṁ33
Ṁ33
Ṁ17
Ṁ15
Ṁ15
22 NO payouts
Ṁ528
Ṁ250
Ṁ236
Ṁ228
Ṁ155
Ṁ146
Ṁ143
Ṁ123
Ṁ76
Ṁ33
Ṁ28
Ṁ24
Ṁ24
Ṁ16
Ṁ12













































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Will the Democratic Party win more seats in the House of Representatives in the 2024 elections than they did in the 2022 midterm elections?60%
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Will the Democratic Party win more seats in the House of Representatives in the 2024 elections than they did in the 2022 midterm elections?60%