Will SBF make another tweet before Nov 20, 2022 11:59pm ET?
Resolved
NO

Evaluation according to Twitter account @SBF_FTX

This market was created on Nov 18, 2022 10:53pm

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Writer
Ṁ87
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arae
Ṁ80
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Daconom
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Ṁ42
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Ṁ12
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Daconomist avatar
Daconom
is predicting NO at 3%

I think this can be resolved, right?

ShakedKoplewitz avatar
Shaked Koplewitz
bought Ṁ35 of YES

He's tweeted on four out of the last 8 days. I'd give this a 50/50 prior for him to tweet on a given day. There's about one and a half days left, so should be about 1-0.5^1.5= 65% odds of him tweeting in the time left.