Will SBF make a tweet before Dec 31, 2022 11:59pm ET?
SBF
18
11
Ṁ370
resolved Dec 30
Resolved
YES

Evaluation according to Twitter account @SBF_FTX

This market was created on Dec 12, 2022 8:30pm ET

[Edit: the market will resolve Yes even if the person tweeted with the Twitter account @SBF_FTX isn't SBF himself. For example, that includes a hacker tweeting with his account.]

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@AmmonLam This has happened and can resolve YES.

sold Ṁ3 of NO

https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1608908562851598336

bought Ṁ200 of YES

https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1602419187296641024

@IsaacKing tweeted before market creation

sold Ṁ276 of YES

@StevenK Whoops, I can't read.

If that twitter account makes a post but it is not tweeted by @SBF_FTX himself, e.g. when other folks were tweeting on behalf of Chelsea Manning, would it count as a YES if others wrote the post? or only if they were passing along his words? What is the bar for evaluation?

@EdwardKmett Evaluation according to Twitter account @SBF_FTX. So even if someone else tweeted on behalf of SBF, the tweet wouldn't count towards the resolution

@AmmonLam I mean, if they tweet using that account using his login, but aren't him. That was the situation for Chelsea Manning while incarcerated for example.

@EdwardKmett I see, good call.

I will resolve to Yes even if the person tweeted with the Twitter account @SBF_FTX isn't SBF himself

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