Will Nikki Haley get more vote than Ron Desantis in the 2024 Wyoming Republican presidential primary?
Basic
13
6.8k
resolved May 25
Resolved as
50%

Resolves N/A if the 2024 Wyoming Republican presidential primary was cancaled

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@AmmonLam those are the overall delegates

@Joshua Haley and Desantis both got zero from Wyoming

@AmmonLam Yeah, seems that this should either be 50% or N/A.

@PlasmaBallin isn't the most obvious option to resolve no? "0 > 0" is false

@jacksonpolack The creator previously said a tie resolves to 50%

@PlasmaBallin @mods Can a mod help me change the resolution to 50%?

@mods can you please resolve this, see comment below

@mint The page you linked to only shows the results of the democratic caucus. I can't find the full results for the GOP caucus anywhere

@mint From what I can find, Trump was the only option that caucus-goers were even allowed to vote for, so this would imply that neither Haley nor DeSantis got any votes.

Oh this is interesting. Yeah... neither of them got any votes. Below, Ammon said that a draw would be 50%. I think that might be the correct resolution here? I closed trading so people don't bet under uncertain criteria though. @AmmonLam thoughts?

What if one of them drops out?

@BlueDragon if Ron Desantis drop out I count him as having zero votes.

IF both drop out it would be a draw, resolve 50%

@AmmonLam So shouldn't this resolve as a draw?

@mb has both of them received zero votes?

@mb okay I notice the problem with my previous response

>>> if Ron Desantis drop out I count him as having zero votes.
>>> IF both drop out it would be a draw, resolve 50%

for the 20 or so other markets I have resolved them by counting the number of votes that Ron Desantis and Nikki Haley received despite the fact that both of them have withdrawn. I will continue to use that resolution method (i.e. resolves Yes if Nikki Haley ended up with more votes) for this market

if you have lost mana due to my previous misleading comment, I'm sorry and I will compensate you for your mana loss.

@AmmonLam No worries. I did not buy any shares but I was just wondering how you were planning to resolve this market because I was thinking of betting on it.