Will Nikki Haley get more vote than Ron Desantis in the 2024 Wyoming Republican presidential primary?
13
44
290
Dec 31
95%
chance

Resolves N/A if the 2024 Wyoming Republican presidential primary was cancaled

Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:

What if one of them drops out?

@BlueDragon if Ron Desantis drop out I count him as having zero votes.

IF both drop out it would be a draw, resolve 50%

@AmmonLam So shouldn't this resolve as a draw?

@mb has both of them received zero votes?

@mb okay I notice the problem with my previous response

>>> if Ron Desantis drop out I count him as having zero votes.
>>> IF both drop out it would be a draw, resolve 50%

for the 20 or so other markets I have resolved them by counting the number of votes that Ron Desantis and Nikki Haley received despite the fact that both of them have withdrawn. I will continue to use that resolution method (i.e. resolves Yes if Nikki Haley ended up with more votes) for this market

if you have lost mana due to my previous misleading comment, I'm sorry and I will compensate you for your mana loss.

@AmmonLam No worries. I did not buy any shares but I was just wondering how you were planning to resolve this market because I was thinking of betting on it.