By manifest 2024 there will be a new product vertical for prediction markets/forecasting. [Manifold Poll]
The first piece about Manifold Markets in New York Times will be positive
If Manifold runs a hiring-decision market in the next ~year, will they think it's worth doing multiple more times?
Will there be at least 5 "markets" on Manifold advertising escorts or call girls in September?
Will Manifold ban or restrict whalebait markets by the end of 2023?
Will Manifold Markets be mentioned by name in a mainstream news article before EOY 2023?
Will Manifold Markets be in the top 25 Google Search results for “Manifold" at the end of 2023?
Will Joe Biden use Manifold Markets before 2024?
Will Manifold have a convenient way to create a bunch of markets about “basically the same topic” by the end of 2023?
Will Manifold's policy about NSFW markets differ from NightCafe one?
Will Manifold have a more refined way to filter through markets by 2024?
Will The Economist publish an article about Manifold Market or any other prediction market before 2024?
Will Robin Hanson create a market on Manifold by the end of 2023?
Tomek K 🟡
Will Manifold take a market down in 2023?
Will Manifold Markets have a Wikipedia page this year?
Will Manifold Markets become an echo-chamber of AI enthusiasts and Destiny (the streamer) fans in 2023?
Will Mr. Beat post a prediction market on Manifold in 2023?
Will I push a change that is destructive to Manifold Markets 2023?
Will manifold introduce a mechanism for retroactive market closure? (in 2023)
Will Manifold Market be reported in multiple major news media for its controversial markets before the end of 2023?