Since I don't currently see user activity metrics for Manifold Love, I will use google trend to resolve this market

https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?geo=US&q=Manifold%20Love,tinder&hl=en-US

Resolves Yes if over any month, "Manifold Love" has 1% as much search volume as "Tinder" on google trend

Resolves No if that didnt happen before the end of 2028

(To get better resolution into the search volume, one can install Glimpse which gives you more detailed statistics on Google trend. Glimpse will allow you to check whether "Manifold Love" has 1% as much search volume as "Tinder" on google trend)