Will Manifold Love get 1% as popular as Tinder within the next 5 years?
Basic
8
Ṁ2882029
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Since I don't currently see user activity metrics for Manifold Love, I will use google trend to resolve this market
https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?geo=US&q=Manifold%20Love,tinder&hl=en-US
Resolves Yes if over any month, "Manifold Love" has 1% as much search volume as "Tinder" on google trend
Resolves No if that didnt happen before the end of 2028
(To get better resolution into the search volume, one can install Glimpse which gives you more detailed statistics on Google trend. Glimpse will allow you to check whether "Manifold Love" has 1% as much search volume as "Tinder" on google trend)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@a2bb I'll look into and consider if I can create another market to compare the user activity between Manifold Love and Tinder, thanks!
Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold Love get 10% as popular as Tinder within the next 5 years?
4% chance
What will be true of the Manifold Dating app (Manifold Love)?
Will the portion of relationships starting on dating apps peak above 80%?
43% chance
Will I have an active dating profile on Manifold.love in 2024?
20% chance
Will there be over 100 Daily Active Users on Manifold Love any week during 2024?
12% chance
Will the portion of relationships starting on dating apps peak above 90%?
28% chance
Will the portion of relationships starting on dating apps peak above 70%?
75% chance
Will Manifold reach 100k monthly active users before 2027?
66% chance
How many cishet relationships will be started on Manifold Dating before the end of 2024?
19% chance
By the end of 2025 will manifold.love be more popular than Hinge?
3% chance