Will GPT5 be released before the end of Oct 2024?
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Nov 5
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Given that the market for gpt5 being released before August is only 50%, this market seems too high. Mainly this is because I don't think OpenAI will dare release anything major during the months right before the 2024 election, out of fear of being blamed for anything.

@JaesonBooker or...what if the release of chatgpt can actually tip the election towards one way? With great power comes great responsibility