Will firstuserhere return to using Manifold before the end of 2024?
Plus
13
Ṁ1183Jan 1
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if firstuserhere has come back to using Manifold either on his main account or on a new account, and made the community (David included) aware that he is back before the end of 2024
Ban evasion does not count. Firstuserhere has to get the permission from Manifold to come back for this to count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
oh nvm
The description isn't clear on whether ban evasion counts
@jack I think ban evasion should not resolve this market either way or else that might be used to justify N/Aing this market because that might encourage FUH to do ban evasion.
Related questions
Related questions
Will I still be using Manifold by September 2025?
63% chance
How many monthly active Users will Manifold reach before the end of 2024?
Will Manifold unban @firstuserhere OR @BTE by the end of November 2024?
16% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2024?
16% chance
Will I (@Robincvgr) still be active on Manifold at the end of 2025?
51% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2025?
29% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2030?
71% chance
By the end of 2024, will anyone have used Manifold to gain fame elsewhere?
22% chance
Will Manifold unban @firstuserhere AND @BTE by the end of November 2024?
10% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2040?
65% chance