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MANIFOLD
Will Bitcoin close above $60000 at the end of Mar 2024?
63
Ṁ970Ṁ130k
resolved Apr 1
Resolved
YES

Resolve according to Yahoo! Finance Historical Data
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BTC-USD/history

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bought Ṁ10 NO

80% feels way too rich for this lower bound, considering the volatility

bought Ṁ50 YES

@EOr You should model it and report back. Naive calculation based on historical returns says this should be about 90% right now.